Posts by hasmis@qoto.org
(DIR) Post #AU13skqSOlvVjOx7uC by hasmis@qoto.org
2023-03-26T18:43:59Z
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@freemo Are we talking the world temperature models, or clear convection models?
(DIR) Post #AU14QcyCBVtr9WixWK by hasmis@qoto.org
2023-03-26T18:50:04Z
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@freemo Thank you for showing me yours, now I’ll show mine. The great accuracy was for the run-up to 2016. This plot below is taken from noaa and has to be constructed, like a prompt to MrChat. The red line is the models. Being in Canada, I wish the fantasy to be true, I really, really, do…. In 2016 I went up to the remote cabin in April, and we could stay until November. Now, we’ll have snow in April….bummer.
(DIR) Post #AU15jUUo0zccKLXHpQ by hasmis@qoto.org
2023-03-26T19:04:43Z
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@freemo No, it’s just my freehand of the general UN models. A model is for extrapolation, the UN models are straight lines. I’ve seen another model (trend) going through the peak of 2016, and landing on another peak. Those peaks are El Nino surging forth.A model is a hypothesis – it works or it doesn’t. It is not a trend line that follows the data after the fact. There is no model that predicts this horrible trend of going down.Anyway, I honourably contest your graph of actual temperatures. I humbly submit mine for consideration….
(DIR) Post #AU2ZX95GzP6MEAaAyG by hasmis@qoto.org
2023-03-27T12:13:20Z
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@freemo Yes, I am wrong. I was having fun channeling the great scientific letters of Newton and Darwin. I had to put my brain on the shelf in the afternoon, in order to sleep, but still was up for a long time.You are stating that a model is a ‘living thing’ that adjusts with the current facts. I am stating that a model is a hypothesis which remains static, and must be proven right or wrong. Thanks for the debate.
(DIR) Post #AUCrk8wi6UL3Y1ySMC by hasmis@qoto.org
2023-04-01T11:22:40Z
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AI image with his ears pinned back Or maybe not. Sorry, couldn’t help it.
(DIR) Post #AUDKzNsXlOb2sLe2JE by hasmis@qoto.org
2023-04-01T16:52:12Z
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@freemo Did you see the 'Glass Onion'? It's a sign of great evil.
(DIR) Post #AUDLlqdY917Zy2jzdY by hasmis@qoto.org
2023-04-01T17:00:58Z
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@freemo You obviously didn't see the movie, The evil guy always made up his own words.
(DIR) Post #AUEsJR7auLloMzoWX2 by hasmis@qoto.org
2023-04-02T10:40:18Z
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@freemo Well it's going to put the hackers out of business.
(DIR) Post #AUEtefRAydPonyf1RQ by hasmis@qoto.org
2023-04-02T10:55:22Z
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@rdaily **Always feed your dog** Once in a while I have forgotten to feed my dog in the evening. Some dogs bang their bowls, my dog starts stalking me...
(DIR) Post #AULt3JTUVsAnf1XlPE by hasmis@qoto.org
2023-04-05T19:49:57Z
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Wow, in Toronto, I think we’ve had 2-4 inches of rain in this storm. I should have put out a rain bucket.
(DIR) Post #AUNWABfw032Urwaniq by hasmis@qoto.org
2023-04-06T14:37:38Z
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6000 word essay On Mastodon. This will be well-loved by the chat crowd.https://euobserver.com/opinion/156896
(DIR) Post #AUNc8ygVPg9q0wfMmm by hasmis@qoto.org
2023-04-06T15:13:05Z
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@Corfiot Was this essay worth anything? I would summarize Masty as being a collection of warring city-states who only decided on standards for the roads.
(DIR) Post #AUPhReSaLBPsIRs9TM by hasmis@qoto.org
2023-04-07T15:45:45Z
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#physics #weather Heating degree days Here’s a chart that gives a good indication of the ‘warmth’ of the weather. We have been getting warmer since we pulled out of the very cold 1800’s. The recent warm cycle gave us a break in the heating bills, and now we are going back to the 1800’s. Or, you could look at the chart anyway you want to.
(DIR) Post #AUPkY9jxFpsWuUn32W by hasmis@qoto.org
2023-04-07T16:35:09Z
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@freemo Ok, so you are weighting the main part of the graph over the end. I don’t discuss charts because they are a great debate. The key here is that the end correlates exactly with the end of Arctic ice volume curve. Because of the general vehemence, I just present these charts, and I go with charts that were once accepted generally, before they turned bad.
(DIR) Post #AUPohxmQyZH6Wssj2W by hasmis@qoto.org
2023-04-07T17:21:45Z
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@freemo An excellent point, but one that wasn’t followed in the early days of fighting for global warming. At that time, the end of the curve was very important, mainly the ‘hockey stick’ inflection. I am being intellectually honest and am perfectly qualified to show long-standing geophysical charts. The world is turning cold, as part of cycles that have gone on since the beginning. I consider two predictions to be solid – that the Pacific equatorial belt will not warm up this year or next, and that the UK will get the full Arctic flow that was over Siberia this winter, and was unreported. Since I am getting some support here, I will maintain a Scientific argument (according to the rules of the Scientific Method) and will provide entertainment for the masses. I get no money, fame, or gravitas by putting out and unpopular hypothesis. I am worried about you popping a vein in your head….
(DIR) Post #AUPy687h4Whh92QMHQ by hasmis@qoto.org
2023-04-07T19:06:57Z
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@freemo As a Canadian, the most important point about the hockey stick is the curve of the blade. The shaft is just straight. Using your logic, the shaft is going down before the bend. The original hockey stick of 1999, ends at the first hook.That is what I am talking about on the weight of the end of the curve. The current curve has the hockey stick pointing down. As for qualifications and intellect, on the Internet, I am a dog. I have no gravitas and cannot be an expert witness in a court of law. I am the King’s Fool in these discussions. But what is your role?
(DIR) Post #AUUQFojqKRy7MTSo1A by hasmis@qoto.org
2023-04-09T22:29:24Z
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@realcaseyrollins @louisrcouture @freemo They are technically for less government, but every wacky wants to interfere with everybody else, and that’s big government.
(DIR) Post #AUXiFZ8WiXrZcdv1Bg by hasmis@qoto.org
2023-04-11T12:40:55Z
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#physics #weather Not a good month This just came out as the ‘official’ NOAA US temperature chart. This is not cherry-picked. In their PR statement, they will make no mention of the ranking, because it is so low. In few days, we’ll have the worlds, but in the same format of individual month, which is not what people are publishing. I convert that one to ‘all months’, the same as the Copernicus chart. I am guessing that all plots will be low, as well, but the ‘single month’ charts are extremely flaky, and it could be high like last month, Then you will a lot of PR touting.
(DIR) Post #AUXjuqkAG9WK3ZlzJQ by hasmis@qoto.org
2023-04-11T13:05:44Z
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@freemo NOAA won’t mention that. This is an official chart. No colour commentary.
(DIR) Post #AUXkRHmrFRZlCHV2Cu by hasmis@qoto.org
2023-04-11T13:11:36Z
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@freemo This is the official PR report. I am surprised they mention ‘middle third’ which they haven’t done before. They don’t go with the trend, but you can, if you want to. They tend to just mention the newest results.https://www.noaa.gov/news/freight-train-of-atmospheric-rivers-brought-record-rain-snow-in-march