Posts by david_colquhoun@mstdn.social
(DIR) Post #ASIp0mc52Q6jsLCmzA by david_colquhoun@mstdn.social
2023-02-03T12:37:57Z
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@tiago It's subjective because no two people will choose the same set of hypotheses π
(DIR) Post #ASJG65lbwxENURQ3P6 by david_colquhoun@mstdn.social
2023-02-03T17:41:27Z
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@tiago I'm not convinced that mathematical theorems (eg "uncomputability of Kolmogorov complexity") can "prove" anything about the real physical world -they are, at best, just analogies to reality.
(DIR) Post #ASPAuIFyM0Llvdw10y by david_colquhoun@mstdn.social
2023-02-06T14:11:32Z
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@stux the legacy of Trump π
(DIR) Post #ASrsbyCc8zUz3aCplI by david_colquhoun@mstdn.social
2023-02-17T10:47:43Z
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@raoulvanoosten @lakens The problem with confidence intervals is that they are random variables, as are p values. That means that when you calculate CI for your experiment, it is not right to say there's a 95% chance that the true value is included in the CI. A repeat of the experiment will give different CI.
(DIR) Post #ASrsbzRBYIkSt41z72 by david_colquhoun@mstdn.social
2023-02-17T11:58:56Z
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@raoulvanoosten Are CI still useful? The problem is that people tie themselves in knots when trying to define how they should be interpreted, just as they do with p values. That's why I love the Wagenmakers quotation. I've advocated supplementing the p value and CI (rather than abandoning them) with a likelihood ratio or some measure of false positive risk
(DIR) Post #ASrsc1AF8GNuF67Tyy by david_colquhoun@mstdn.social
2023-02-20T10:31:17Z
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@lakens @raoulvanoosten The problem with p values is that they confuse two quite different quantities.The probability that you have 4 legs given that you are a cow is high.The probability that you are a cow, given that you have 4 legs is low.
(DIR) Post #ATPM3kgjyBWuMipc48 by david_colquhoun@mstdn.social
2023-03-08T14:08:38Z
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@TedUnderwood Are you defending ChatGPT, or Trumpism?
(DIR) Post #AXqh6gHkkRVUhFgnrc by david_colquhoun@mstdn.social
2023-07-19T09:40:25Z
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Well well, Today I have beaten the odds and made it to 87.I've been asked to talk to students in Strathclyde U in October, but I'm recording it for YouTube, just in case.
(DIR) Post #AXzXHITYMUUCv1GtmK by david_colquhoun@mstdn.social
2023-07-23T16:27:22Z
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Too true.https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2023/7/20/2182248/-Cartoon-What-we-imagined-climate-change-deniers-would-say?detail=emaildkcc&pm_source=DKRE&pm_medium=email
(DIR) Post #AZh7FYayFMs6lOI3UW by david_colquhoun@mstdn.social
2023-09-12T14:59:24Z
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@tante Terrific -thank you.
(DIR) Post #AlKrAOh7H0qmldcUXg by david_colquhoun@mstdn.social
2024-08-25T19:41:23Z
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@futurebird He was visited by snake-oil salesmen, and was stupid enough to believe them.
(DIR) Post #AlKrhHVwzQSO3T4riq by david_colquhoun@mstdn.social
2024-08-25T19:47:18Z
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@futurebird I think that he had a visit from the MMS lot
(DIR) Post #AlKxaAegh0dWTo9mhU by david_colquhoun@mstdn.social
2024-08-25T20:53:15Z
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@futurebird https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/jun/22/bleach-miracle-cure-donald-trump
(DIR) Post #AlL3tOxUKyAM4FVIa8 by david_colquhoun@mstdn.social
2024-08-25T22:04:01Z
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@apropos @futurebirdI already sent a link to what matters about this story: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/jun/22/bleach-miracle-cure-donald-trump
(DIR) Post #AluLAvsbglDqqalNei by david_colquhoun@mstdn.social
2024-09-11T22:32:31Z
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@futurebird Absence of AI -it's hopelessly useless
(DIR) Post #AnlavrUphBlAO4htse by david_colquhoun@mstdn.social
2024-11-06T13:00:54Z
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@futurebird I had passport and driving licence for most of my life. Now I'm 88 and can barely walk, I no longer need either.
(DIR) Post #AqqtJmkZNMQx4CdlIW by david_colquhoun@mstdn.social
2025-02-06T16:17:56Z
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Excellent editorial in the #BMJ"We will not retract published articles on request by an author on the basis that they contain so-called banned words"Trump must never be allowed to censor science.https://www.bmj.com/content/388/bmj.r253
(DIR) Post #Atne3Cfh1RhSo6NQJM by david_colquhoun@mstdn.social
2025-05-04T12:41:03Z
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"Sabine Hossenfelder Asks If Science Is Dying. Itβs Not."I too loved many of Hossenfelder's earlier videos. Now she's turned into an anti-science crank. That is very sad.Nice account of her downfall by @jonathanjarry.bsky.social Read it at https://www.mcgill.ca/oss/article/critical-thinking-general-science/sabine-hossenfelder-asks-if-science-dying-its-not
(DIR) Post #Awjv5HHUVSeDImoPwW by david_colquhoun@mstdn.social
2025-07-31T22:23:20Z
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@deshipu Not so. It's important to try age verification even if it's imperfect. Otherwise you are just favouring pornographers having unlimited access to children.
(DIR) Post #AyTzaOzZPgCPJZ3HW4 by david_colquhoun@mstdn.social
2025-09-22T22:06:54Z
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The best study, by far, of paracetamol / Tylenol in pregnancy is open access. There is no sign of any harm, Trump and RFK Jr are talking through their ****. You can read the paper at https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2817406