Posts by 1afe0c74e3d7784eba93a5e3fa554a6eeb01928d12739ae8ba4832786808e36d@mostr.pub
 (DIR) Post #B24vy35DN8xRZKF1ou by 1afe0c74e3d7784eba93a5e3fa554a6eeb01928d12739ae8ba4832786808e36d@mostr.pub
       2026-01-08T01:58:01.000Z
       
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       Why do we have so many hysterical people in society today? If you look at old news footage even 20-30 years ago most of the time people are relatively chill. If you go 100 years back people are reallyyyy chill, just like “then I was in the war and I killed 100 men, then I was shot through the left eye, then I came home and married my high school sweetheart but she died due to diphtheria. Then I got in a car crash and lost both my legs, but overall I can’t complain”It’s actually pretty rare to see someone overwhelmed to the point of hysterical shrieking, yet on the internet it’s extremely common place. I don’t think this is because life is harder now. If anything, it’s objectively easier, safer, and more comfortable than at almost any other point in history.What has changed is how emotion is rewarded.Today, emotional dysregulation gets attention, validation, amplification, and sometimes even status. Calm, restraint, and proportional reactions don’t go viral. Hysteria does. Outrage does. Collapse does.We’ve also externalized resilience. Instead of learning how to regulate discomfort internally, people are taught that every emotional spike deserves immediate external response agreement, soothing, outrage on their behalf.So you end up with a culture where being overwhelmed isn’t a temporary state to move through, it’s an identity to perform.And once hysteria becomes a social currency, you start seeing a lot more of it.
       
 (DIR) Post #B27ZhLlx19j15mk8HI by 1afe0c74e3d7784eba93a5e3fa554a6eeb01928d12739ae8ba4832786808e36d@mostr.pub
       2026-01-08T22:46:38.000Z
       
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       So you got rich on bitcoin? Neat! Pick your new rich guy quest. - bang whores in Miami - run for political office - start collecting cars - TRT and gym life - caribbean island political dissident  - Puerto Rican shitcoin trader - family time - ranch in Wyoming - start a podcast- continue shitposting
       
 (DIR) Post #B28COsVuxT1bLeQVNY by 1afe0c74e3d7784eba93a5e3fa554a6eeb01928d12739ae8ba4832786808e36d@mostr.pub
       2026-01-09T02:43:53.000Z
       
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       Been shooting a ton of 35mm film lately. It’s so much better than digital photography. It really takes me back to a specific time and place. I love only having 36 shots per roll and having to be patient and wait for the right moment. Shooting less. Being contemplative.  It’s like a meditation for me. And the photos are magical. Digital will never be able to replace the chemical reaction of light meeting silver halide. https://blossom.primal.net/75256e81496ebd24a7f88bbf82fe2c789e05637671902ae93726ff226c2a1df7.jpg
       
 (DIR) Post #B2BwoRj6M13dACbQSu by 1afe0c74e3d7784eba93a5e3fa554a6eeb01928d12739ae8ba4832786808e36d@mostr.pub
       2026-01-11T22:43:49.000Z
       
       1 likes, 0 repeats
       
       My new favorite conspiracy theory is that there’s only like 5 billion people on the planet not 8. When you look at the various mal incentives to lie about population it makes a lot of sense.
       
 (DIR) Post #B2GKop22sb5Oyc10uO by 1afe0c74e3d7784eba93a5e3fa554a6eeb01928d12739ae8ba4832786808e36d@mostr.pub
       2026-01-14T02:53:21.000Z
       
       0 likes, 0 repeats
       
       Welcome to nostr!!
       
 (DIR) Post #B2RzaVxOxV5IMHFV2m by 1afe0c74e3d7784eba93a5e3fa554a6eeb01928d12739ae8ba4832786808e36d@mostr.pub
       2026-01-19T17:46:40.000Z
       
       1 likes, 1 repeats
       
       "The central theme of the book is the contrast between the Hobbits (or "the Shire") and the appalling destiny to which some of them are called, the terrifying discovery that the humdrum happiness of the Shire, which they had taken for granted as something normal, is in reality a sort of local and temporary accident, that its existence depends on being protected by powers which Hobbits forget, against powers which Hobbits dare not imagine." -CS Lewis, close friend of JRR Tolkien
       
 (DIR) Post #B2rI3iJWT4EcWYDGQy by 1afe0c74e3d7784eba93a5e3fa554a6eeb01928d12739ae8ba4832786808e36d@mostr.pub
       2026-01-31T21:36:32.000Z
       
       1 likes, 0 repeats
       
       It’s super woke/liberal and censors all speech that doesn’t conform to that ideology
       
 (DIR) Post #B2t80LGF6whovsLtR2 by 1afe0c74e3d7784eba93a5e3fa554a6eeb01928d12739ae8ba4832786808e36d@mostr.pub
       2026-02-01T19:15:06.000Z
       
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       Only one of these is a real eagle which one is it? I A.I. generated the rest https://blossom.primal.net/f1c85b82f653ac6df04ae5424b5196d633ecf0fa8a22dd6679b08ef8ed3228d2.jpg
       
 (DIR) Post #B2wtLXA9KnKhFJzN20 by 1afe0c74e3d7784eba93a5e3fa554a6eeb01928d12739ae8ba4832786808e36d@mostr.pub
       2026-02-03T14:26:35.000Z
       
       1 likes, 0 repeats
       
       GM fellow goysJeffrey Epstein being Satoshi nakamoto is officially the dumbest thing I’ve ever heard from the xrp crowd and that’s saying something.
       
 (DIR) Post #B2wtOLJ1sFp7LFTv1s by 1afe0c74e3d7784eba93a5e3fa554a6eeb01928d12739ae8ba4832786808e36d@mostr.pub
       2026-02-03T14:31:17.000Z
       
       1 likes, 0 repeats
       
       I read all the worst parts of the internet so you don’t have to
       
 (DIR) Post #B2yyvf1CUbz87cliuu by 1afe0c74e3d7784eba93a5e3fa554a6eeb01928d12739ae8ba4832786808e36d@mostr.pub
       2026-02-04T15:52:49.000Z
       
       1 likes, 0 repeats
       
       If you haven’t been assuming every core contributor has been compromised since day one are you even really a bitcoiner? Knots too btw. I assume everyone is compromised as a starting point and then work from there. Doesn’t mean that they are but we must act as if they are just in case.
       
 (DIR) Post #B2ziolnVUA2f0m137A by 1afe0c74e3d7784eba93a5e3fa554a6eeb01928d12739ae8ba4832786808e36d@mostr.pub
       2026-02-04T23:26:37.000Z
       
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       Is anybody on following me on nostr a humble hodler stuck in a developing country and just doing their best to stack sats?
       
 (DIR) Post #B31952ZLgkY9cxlxYW by 1afe0c74e3d7784eba93a5e3fa554a6eeb01928d12739ae8ba4832786808e36d@mostr.pub
       2026-02-05T12:46:43.000Z
       
       1 likes, 0 repeats
       
       One thing that seems obvious to me is that this is methodical institutional selling. You can tell by how constant it is. Whether it’s forced selling because someone is insolvent or “manipulative” selling because someone saw an opportunity I’m not sure.
       
 (DIR) Post #B319BG2kVLpN9dUNKi by 1afe0c74e3d7784eba93a5e3fa554a6eeb01928d12739ae8ba4832786808e36d@mostr.pub
       2026-02-05T13:17:57.000Z
       
       1 likes, 0 repeats
       
       “My personal philosophy re Bitcoin is to hold (HODL). I firmly believe in the future. You need to do your own research and make your own decisions.” -Gene Simmons https://blossom.primal.net/d28051ca4a2f6911d68a9e02ea1770be3ac3a3591f562337c434bfd8424dee6d.jpg
       
 (DIR) Post #B31GqMCpCG7voqkLYW by 1afe0c74e3d7784eba93a5e3fa554a6eeb01928d12739ae8ba4832786808e36d@mostr.pub
       2026-02-05T17:49:21.000Z
       
       1 likes, 0 repeats
       
       That guy that only texts you when BTC is down?Yeah that’s not your friend bro that’s your enemy.
       
 (DIR) Post #B325Lo0ireykjuH7T6 by 1afe0c74e3d7784eba93a5e3fa554a6eeb01928d12739ae8ba4832786808e36d@mostr.pub
       2026-02-06T03:38:35.000Z
       
       1 likes, 0 repeats
       
       This is the best explanation I’ve seen so far. From @53ae1378 on twitter…“This was the highest volume day on $IBIT, ever, by a factor of nearly 2x, trading $10.7B today. Additionally, roughly $900M in options premiums were traded today, also the highest ever for IBIT.  Given these facts and the way $BTC and $SOL traded down in lockstep today (normally SOL trades with beta) + the relatively lower liquidations on CeFi exchanges, this leads me to believe that the nexus of the problem lies with a large IBIT holder. IBIT has become the #1 venue for BTC options trading, so my guess is that a hedge fund trading IBIT options is the culprit.If you look at the 13F filings for IBIT (I like whalewisdom dot com), you'll find a number of interesting names that have the majority of their fund in IBIT. In fact, there are a few in there (not naming names) that have 100% of their fund in IBIT, which likely means no cross margin. In fact, the biggest reason to set up a fund to hold a single asset would be to isolate margin, so that if the trade blew up, the brokers wouldn't have claim to any other assets.Interestingly, most of these giant, single asset funds are based in HK. We know that Asian traders, particularly in China, have been deeply involved in the Silver and Gold trade. Silver was down 20% today, which was the 2nd largest 1 day move in a very long time (largest on Jan 30). We also know that the JPY carry trade has been unwinding at an increasingly rapid pace.This leads me to think that the culprit for the IBIT blowup today was 1 or more HK-based non-crypto hedge funds. As @FranklinBi pointed out, the fund(s) being non-crypto would explain why no one sniffed them out. They would likely have few/no crypto counterparties, meaning complete isolation from CT.The last small piece of evidence I have is that I personally know a number of HK-based hedge funds that are holders of $DFDV, which had the worst single down day ever, with a meaningful mNAV decline. The mNAV had been holding steady surprisingly well throughout this pull back until today. One of these fund(s) could have been connected to the IBIT culprit, as I highly doubt a fund taking that large of a position in IBIT and using a single entity structure would only have the one fund.Now, I could easily see how the fund(s) could have been running a levered options trade on IBIT (think way OTM calls = ultra high gamma) with borrowed capital in JPY. Oct 10th could very well have blown a hole in their balance sheet, that they tried to win back by adding leverage waiting for the "obvious" rebound. As that led to increased losses, coupled with increased funding costs in JPY, I could see how the fund(s) would have gotten more desperate and hopped on the Silver trade. When that blew up, things got dire and this last push in BTC finished them off.I have no hard evidence here, just some hunches and bread crumbs, but it does seem very plausible. Let's see if some more concrete evidence floats to the surface here soon. The smoking gun will be a large fund fitting this profile filing a 13F showing a giant IBIT holding going to zero. Unfortunately, if a fund had their IBIT position liquidated today, they wouldn't have to disclose the position change until 45 days after the quarter end, so we'd be looking at mid May for the smoking gun from 13F filings most likely.Hopefully some of you out there with too much time on your hands this weekend can snoop around more. My guess is that word will start to get out, because something of this size is just too hard to hide. Additionally, if the broker was not able to liquidate the fund in time, the broker may have a hole in their balance sheet, which would be even more difficult to hide.”
       
 (DIR) Post #B33wTmbNTY8rPp4LUu by 1afe0c74e3d7784eba93a5e3fa554a6eeb01928d12739ae8ba4832786808e36d@mostr.pub
       2026-02-06T16:35:22.000Z
       
       1 likes, 0 repeats
       
       I’m either one of the new wealthy elite or an idiot who rode bitcoin to zero. There is no in between.
       
 (DIR) Post #B3CaPZBuwdoQ60Ns4e by 1afe0c74e3d7784eba93a5e3fa554a6eeb01928d12739ae8ba4832786808e36d@mostr.pub
       2025-09-29T15:45:25.000Z
       
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       Underneath everything you see in the news is a monetary system unraveling. Important we remember that and not get sucked into the circus. We’re the only group who can see it happening in real time. That’s our job. To keep pointing to the root cause instead of the shadows on the wall. For years if we must, knowing it is thankless and tiring work. Not to be grandiose or self important because believe me I literally dont want this to be the truth. I want to live in the woods and pretend the world can’t touch me on my own little paradise , but I know that’s not our destiny. Our calling is to help people onto the lifeboats as the ship sinks. Knowing they don’t even believe or know it’s sinking. And they might drown you in the process. It’s still what must be done.
       
 (DIR) Post #B3JiSm35kwaIa812Qq by 1afe0c74e3d7784eba93a5e3fa554a6eeb01928d12739ae8ba4832786808e36d@mostr.pub
       2026-02-12T23:17:31.000Z
       
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       You know how all the LLM’s are woke because SJW types spent all day for ten years talking about woke garbage on Reddit? And then the LLM’s trained on Reddit as a data set. That’s what we’ve been doing on bitcoin twitter, reddit, bitcoin talk forum and now nostr. Ask the average LLM, they’re effectively all default bitcoin maxis. This is why rule number one is you always talk about bitcoin and rule number two is you always talk about bitcoin. We didn’t even know what we were doing at the time. Crazy.
       
 (DIR) Post #B3qvf89v5UTEFb6qWm by 1afe0c74e3d7784eba93a5e3fa554a6eeb01928d12739ae8ba4832786808e36d@mostr.pub
       2026-03-02T16:10:16.000Z
       
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       What is the hypocrisy exactly?