Post B3K79bNdhATYqUa6uO by futurebird@sauropods.win
(DIR) More posts by futurebird@sauropods.win
(DIR) Post #B3JJc8eca8IARWwFQe by Lana@beige.party
2026-02-13T20:58:57Z
4 likes, 3 repeats
Pick the best fallacy
(DIR) Post #B3JgHDOQ4AXa0KLtGi by futurebird@sauropods.win
2026-02-14T15:42:31Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
@Lana "Recency Bias" is so interesting to me since it's applicable to things like:* More history is happening now than ever!* Technological progress keeps speeding up* Kids These Days. 😔 * It has all gone wrong because of Phone/Social Media/That Jazz Music* We are living in the Age of All Times these days!It's just seems like it's EVERYWHERE now.
(DIR) Post #B3Jm4jFEvhWekfUIaW by dlakelan@mastodon.sdf.org
2026-02-14T16:47:25Z
0 likes, 0 repeats
@futurebird> It's just seems like it's EVERYWHERE nowI LOLed@Lana
(DIR) Post #B3JmjtfN5UmYwjLCcq by jimthewhyguy@techfieldday.net
2026-02-14T16:54:51Z
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@futurebird @Lana Good observation on recency bias. One of my favorites is Forer Effect: we tend to believe positive things said about ourselves more than negatives. Played a game at a few conferences where I passed out individualized projections about a person's future success in IT and asked them to rank accuracy of prediction. People tended to rank at 4.2 / 5. Then everyone exchanges forecasts and holy crap ... They're identical!
(DIR) Post #B3JnECve2DGhNKPEMS by miriamrobern@dice.camp
2026-02-14T17:00:21Z
0 likes, 0 repeats
@futurebird @Lana i misread this as "Regency Bias" and was hoping there was some Austen-themed rhetoric i hadnt heard about yet
(DIR) Post #B3JteMBmpKZjLkoB9s by mkb@mastodon.social
2026-02-14T18:12:19Z
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@futurebird @Lana I thought it was fairly well established that technology is speeding up, including quantitative studies. However, there is data suggesting the economic impact of technology may have peaked midcentury. I hear you on the “It’s all gone wrong” phenomenon though. Some of the arguments against ubiquitous computing and now against AI were the same arguments made at one time against the written word.
(DIR) Post #B3K3zRPDcrI99TmdrU by futurebird@sauropods.win
2026-02-14T20:08:13Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
@mkb @Lana I thought it was fairly well established that technology is speeding up, it was only a generation ago that everyone was still knapping their flint in a series of overlapping semi-circles rather than leaving a gap to create an arrowhead with more bite. And soaking methods for weaving? We've never seen such advances. Imagine using cold stream water like your uncle once did.
(DIR) Post #B3K4LxGdqTuSL8VVJ2 by futurebird@sauropods.win
2026-02-14T20:12:17Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
@mkb @Lana I kind of suspect that we just don't care about or can't distinguish the granularity of progress in older tech. But I get all excited if there is more memory in a USB drive. Some far future person would think of both the Apple II and iphone as "primitive computers"
(DIR) Post #B3K5NQ6QDqqK0wzPBw by futurebird@sauropods.win
2026-02-14T20:23:46Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
@mkb @Lana In future media a person will sit down while making a smartphone call and start typing on a 486 machine and no one will notice why this makes no sense. If you point it out you will be called a historical nitpicker.
(DIR) Post #B3K5cj1GAlap1ksBOq by TobyBartels@mathstodon.xyz
2026-02-14T20:26:28Z
0 likes, 0 repeats
@futurebird @mkb @Lanahttps://xkcd.com/771/
(DIR) Post #B3K6WdJWZXdhY64i4O by EdTheDev@infosec.exchange
2026-02-14T20:36:35Z
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@mkb @Lana @futurebird Not to be disagreeable, but I giggled that your two (quite valid) examples both still feel forever young to me.I still can't look at an Apple II with anything other than awe. And of course the iPhone was revolutionary.
(DIR) Post #B3K79bNdhATYqUa6uO by futurebird@sauropods.win
2026-02-14T20:43:40Z
0 likes, 1 repeats
@EdTheDev @mkb @Lana That's the long view. They aren't that different in some ways.I just worry when I look at ancient baskets and think "wow these are really lovely" there is so much nuance and technological progress, and meaning that I'm missing. Because I'm a 2000s person and the thought of weaving a basket with your hands in deeply impressive to me and I know nothing of the details.
(DIR) Post #B3K7fYaZbothSGrubI by darkling@mstdn.social
2026-02-14T20:49:25Z
0 likes, 0 repeats
@futurebird @mkb @Lana We all know Alan Turing had an iPod and listened to Billie Eilish.
(DIR) Post #B3K85eReSV9F998dKS by EdTheDev@infosec.exchange
2026-02-14T20:54:09Z
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@mkb @Lana @futurebird yes. That feeling gets it me, as well.I'm a fan of this effect in one weird specific way: I collect what I all "re-retro" devices - like the "NES Mini" - remakes of a nostalgic piece of technology, but replicated with newer technology.I love all the little trade-off decisions each device has - between convenience and authenticity.My favorite example is a Commodore 64 clone that shipped with a large metal plate inside - to make it weigh the correct amount, in spite of the electronics taking 1/10 th the space inside.
(DIR) Post #B3KAGMOw5LaWHK6Oe0 by david42@mastodon.online
2026-02-14T21:18:25Z
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@futurebird @mkb @Lana It is strongly argued that scientific discovery is slowing down, eg https://theweek.com/science/world-losing-scientific-innovation-researchAnd that's both in terms of discovery per year, and per researcher-year.
(DIR) Post #B3KArzJcMkYtgQYaky by MennoWolff@ohai.social
2026-02-14T21:25:16Z
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@futurebird @Lana Ooh, boy, don't get me started on the printing press. News travels so much faster these days. And someone with the kind of money that can buy a press can spread all kinds of fake news. And it's putting the town criers out of work
(DIR) Post #B3KBlN3jmwHXFbXOlM by mkb@mastodon.social
2026-02-14T21:35:18Z
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@futurebird @Lana Fair. I’d wondered about that aspect as well.
(DIR) Post #B3KC41y4QiDZL4mi3s by mkb@mastodon.social
2026-02-14T21:38:40Z
0 likes, 0 repeats
@futurebird @EdTheDev @Lana I’m old enough to remember when computers were programmed by humans instead of other computers. 😀
(DIR) Post #B3KT9wBgX5DWMyYTfk by knowprose@mastodon.social
2026-02-15T00:50:13Z
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@futurebird @mkb @Lana Hey now. 10 years ago I did that. 😂