Subj : 3 Day Space Weather Forecast
To   : All
From : Sean Dennis
Date : Wed Jan 14 2026 12:19 am

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Jan 14 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction 
Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jan 14-Jan 16 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jan 14-Jan 16 2026

             Jan 14       Jan 15       Jan 16
00-03UT       3.67         2.33         1.67
03-06UT       3.00         3.00         1.33
06-09UT       3.00         2.00         1.33
09-12UT       2.67         2.00         1.33
12-15UT       2.00         1.67         1.33
15-18UT       2.33         2.00         1.33
18-21UT       2.00         2.00         1.67
21-00UT       2.00         2.33         1.67

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jan 14-Jan 16 2026

              Jan 14  Jan 15  Jan 16
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.


C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jan 14-Jan 16 2026

              Jan 14        Jan 15        Jan 16
R1-R2           25%           25%           25%
R3 or greater    1%            1%            1%

Rationale: There is a chance (25%) R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts on 14-16 Jan.



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