Subj : Google CEO expects AI development to slow down in 2025 but dont To : All From : TechnologyDaily Date : Mon Dec 09 2024 17:15:05 Google CEO expects AI development to slow down in 2025 but dont start celebrating the end of the AI craze Date: Mon, 09 Dec 2024 17:11:24 +0000 Description: Sundar Pichai predicts a slow year for AI in 2025, and he's probably right. FULL STORY ======================================================================Sundar Pichai predicts a slow year for AI in 2025 Says we'll need "deeper breakthroughs" to get to the next stage Many agree, but OpenAI CEO has publically suggested there won't be an AI development slow down Artificial intelligence has ruled the roost in 2024, with pretty much every major tech brand announcing AI tools and upgrades for our phones, laptops, TVs, smartwatches, and pretty much everything via partnerships with ChatGPT or one of the best ChatGPT alternatives . 2025 looked set to continue this trend, but Google CEO Sundar Pichai instead believes well see AI developments tail off now that the low-hanging fruit is gone. Speaking at the New York Times DealBook Summit , Pichai said I think the progress is going to get harder, adding youre definitely going to need deeper breakthroughs as we get to the next stage. As Pichai sees it, the explosion of new features and rapid advancements weve seen will slow down in 2025 as we reach the current limit of AI systems a limit that will only be surpassed by heavy investment and development that will take time to bear fruit. Until we achieve the next major breakthrough, Pichai argues that well see more incremental improvements that may improve the technology, but wont necessarily redefine what AI systems can do like weve seen these past 12 months. And hes hardly alone in this sentiment. A couple of months ago, Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella likened AI development to the Industrial Revolution in that growth takes time before it explodes (via CNBC ), journalist Edward Zitrons latest newsletter post goes into a fantastic long deep dive into the struggles facing AI development, and our in-house expert Senior Editor Graham Barlow said of Pichais comments: I think hes right. there is no wall November 14, 2024 Pichais sentiment isnt held by every AI-focused company, though at least publicly. Back in November OpenAI CEO Sam Altman posted There is no wall suggesting he believes AI advancements will continue at a breakneck pace. His post was a response to criticism that the most recent ChatGPT update was only slightly better than the model that came before. However, behind closed doors there are reports (via Bloomberg , behind a pay wall) that OpenAI, as well as Google and Anthropic, are having a hard time advancing their AI systems and are struggling to achieve internal milestones. (Image credit: Shutterstock / NicoElNino) Dont expect AI to disappear Given the nature of breakthroughs, it can be hard to predict when the next one will happen. It could be that some massive advancement is discovered in five months, or it could take five years as different avenues are explored. However given the potential of AI systems, its unlikely that the hype and excitement around AI will disappear completely any time soon even if notable advancements are few and far between for a while. Thats not to say the excitement wont die down. As different AI from Google, OpenAI, Microsoft, Apple and the rest approach our existing wall and homogenize, well likely see the industry shift focus to a different technology for a while, as we always have. Just look at XR tech. Google Glass made a splash in the mid 2010s, followed by the first actually impressive consumer VR headsets from Oculus and HTC. Then things relaxed in terms of the publics perception until we got the Oculus Quest 2 and Metas massive Metaverse announcement , which triggered a new flurry of interest in the industry buzzword before returning to normal. Now, as we approach 2025, that excitement could return with Google and Samsung believed to be gearing up to showcase some kind of glasses or headset at the Samsung Galaxy S25 launch event in January. AI is merely following this long-standing tech industry trend cycle, and while AI might be about to enter its ebb-era it will eventually flow back. So enjoy the calmer AI updates in 2025 while you can, because even if it fades more into the background artificial intelligence excitement will return. You might also like I created an AI-generated Manchester City jersey Google AI model sets new benchmark for 15-day weather predictions What is ChatGPT? Everything you need to know about the AI chatbot ====================================================================== Link to news story: https://www.techradar.com/computing/artificial-intelligence/google-ceo-expects -ai-development-to-slow-down-in-2025-but-dont-start-celebrating-the-end-of-the -ai-craze --- Mystic BBS v1.12 A47 (Linux/64) * Origin: tqwNet Technology News (1337:1/100) .