Subj : Re: colour-blind
To   : Barry Martin
From : Daryl Stout
Date : Mon Nov 30 2020 17:44:00

Barry,

 BM> If he was any good he should have been able to forecast the problem
 BM> when he requested his time off!

  Yeah, really. But, I've seen the models go from an ominous solution
(severe weather/tornadoes or snow/ice) on one run...to practically nothing
on the next run. 

  The models go out to certain time periods, as follows (I'll just use a
few examples):

GFS: 384 hours (I think that's 18 days)
ECMWF: 240 hours (10 days)
GEM/CMC: 144 hours
HRRR: 84 hours

  The thing is, the further out you get from 3 days (72 hours), it becomes
"a crap shoot" on what might happen.

 BM> No snow up here in the short-range forecast,  Have had sub-freezing
 BM> temperatures and a first snow of the season but nothing major: melted
 BM> off by mid-morning.  Did use the snow shovels but wasn't for snow:
 BM> scooped up a pile of leaves.

  We'll have a hard freeze statewide overnight, so that'll finally end the
growing season. By late November/early December, most of the crops have
been harvested. However, one still has to protect plants, pets, and pipes;
plus to dress for the weather.

Daryl

.... Here's some information on the sun -- IT'S HOT!!
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