Subj : Severe Threat Continues US Mid-South
To   : All
From : Mike Powell
Date : Sun Mar 23 2025 19:09:44

ACUS11 KWNS 232358
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 232357=20
ALZ000-TNZ000-MSZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-240130-

Mesoscale Discussion 0257
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0657 PM CDT Sun Mar 23 2025

Areas affected...Mid-South

Concerning...Tornado Watch 60...

Valid 232357Z - 240130Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 60 continues.

SUMMARY...A concentrated corridor of supercells is expected across
portions of the Mid-South this evening.

DISCUSSION...LLJ is shifting southeast early this evening along the
southern fringe of a trough that is shifting towards the lower Ohio
Valley. Large-scale synoptic front is expected to advance across
western KY/TN/eastern AR, but pre-frontal confluence appears to be
aiding scattered-numerous robust updrafts, including supercells,
along a corridor from southeast AR-northern MS-northwest AL. Most of
the longer-lived updrafts are producing hail and this should
continue into the mid-evening hours. Additionally, forecast
soundings suggest some tornado risk where dew points have risen into
the lower 60s, as SBCAPE in this environment is fairly substantial
within a strongly sheared environment. With time this corridor is
expected to gradually sag southeast.

...Darrow.. 03/23/2025

ATTN...WFO...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...LZK...

LAT...LON   33329217 34059008 35018743 34308716 32779056 33329217=20

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