Subj : HVYRAIN: Excessive Rainfa
To   : All
From : Mike Powell
Date : Sun Mar 09 2025 09:24:00

FOUS30 KWBC 090835
QPFERD

Excessive Rainfall Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
435 AM EDT Sun Mar 9 2025

Day 1
Valid 12Z Sun Mar 09 2025 - 12Z Mon Mar 10 2025

....THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES...

Have introduced a Slight Risk area from the Florida panhandle
eastward into portions of the northern Florida peninsula and
adjacent portions of southern Georgia given increasing support 
from the models...both global and mesoscale...for higher rainfall
amounts/rates.

Present indications are that convection capable of producing
rainfall rates in excess of an inch per hour will be possible in a
corridor along/near the coastal portions of the Florida panhandle
northeastward from this morning into early afternoon (approximately
in the period from 12Z to 18Z) in association with one shortwave 
that taps some Gulf instability. Another round of moderate to heavy
rainfall looks to develop in the 10/00Z to 10/06Z period as a 
second shortwave follows a similar path as the first shortwave.
Rainfall totals in of 2 to 4 inches could occur within that
corridor...although there could easily be some higher amounts 
embedded within the belt of heavy rainfall. Those rainfall amounts 
have the potential to result in flooding of low-lying areas, creeks
and roadways.

Bann


Day 2
Valid 12Z Mon Mar 10 2025 - 12Z Tue Mar 11 2025

The probability of rainfall exceeding Flash Flood Guidance is less
than 5 percent. 

Bann


Day 3
Valid 12Z Tue Mar 11 2025 - 12Z Wed Mar 12 2025

The probability of rainfall exceeding Flash Flood Guidance is less
than 5 percent.

Bann

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