Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Predic
To   : All
From : Mike Powell
Date : Tue Feb 18 2025 08:21:00

ACUS02 KWNS 180624
SWODY2
SPC AC 180622

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1222 AM CST Tue Feb 18 2025

Valid 191200Z - 201200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms are possible across portions of the Southeast
on Wednesday, but severe storms are not expected.

....Synopsis...

A weak surface low is forecast to be near far southeast LA at the
beginning of the forecast period, with a trailing Arctic cold front
extending southwest into the western Gulf. Isolated thunderstorms
will likely be ongoing from southeast LA eastward along the central
Gulf coast vicinity during the morning. Stronger convection will
remain over the warmer Gulf waters as the cold front develops
east/southeast through the day. Poor lapse rates and modest
boundary-layer moisture ahead of the cold front will preclude much
destabilization over land. A couple of thunderstorms may develop
over the FL Peninsula during the late afternoon/early evening, but
severe thunderstorms are not expected given the expected poor
thermodynamic environment.

...Leitman.. 02/18/2025

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