Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Predic
To   : All
From : Mike Powell
Date : Thu Jan 30 2025 09:26:00

ACUS02 KWNS 300656
SWODY2
SPC AC 300654

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1254 AM CST Thu Jan 30 2025

Valid 311200Z - 011200Z

....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF COAST REGION...

....SUMMARY...
A couple of strong/potentially severe storms may occur over parts of
the central/eastern Gulf Coast region Friday.

....Synopsis...
An upper low moving across the central U.S. early Friday is progged
to devolve into an open wave, which will move quickly across the
eastern half of the U.S. with time.  By the end of the period, this
feature will likely have reached the Atlantic Coast.

At the surface, a weak low will move across the Midwest and central
Appalachians early in the period, and then should redevelop off the
New England coast after sunset.  A trailing cold front will cross
the Southeast and Atlantic Coast states with time, moving offshore
overnight and trailing only across the Florida Peninsula through the
end of the period.

....Mouth of the Mississippi eastward to southwestern Georgia...
Showers -- and possibly a few thunderstorms -- should be ongoing
Friday morning, largely elevated above a weakly stable boundary
layer.  Weak heating through the morning and into early afternoon
may support meager, nearly surface-based CAPE to gradually evolve.
Given favorable background shear across the warm sector, a few
stronger updrafts cannot be ruled out.  Though the lack of more
substantial instability should substantially hinder potential for
severe weather, a few stronger gusts and/or a brief tornado cannot
be ruled out.  The risk should peak from late morning through late
afternoon, diminishing into the evening as the front -- and
associated convective band -- advance eastward across Georgia and
the Florida Panhandle.

...Goss.. 01/30/2025

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