Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Predic
To   : All
From : Mike Powell
Date : Sun Jan 12 2025 09:50:00

ACUS02 KWNS 120554
SWODY2
SPC AC 120553

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1153 PM CST Sat Jan 11 2025

Valid 131200Z - 141200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected across most of the U.S. on Monday.
However, an isolated thunderstorm or two may approach the
north-central/northeast Gulf Coast.

....Synopsis...

Moderate to strong deep-layer southwesterly flow will persist across
much of the eastern half of the CONUS on Monday. A weak surface
low/trough is forecast to move across the northeast Gulf of Mexico,
with a warm front remaining offshore the central and northeast Gulf
coast. This will keep deeper boundary-layer moisture offshore.
However, modest midlevel lapse rates amid a saturated thermodynamic
profile in the midlevel will support minor elevated instability
(generally less than 150 J/kg) from the mouth of the MS River
eastward toward the FL Big Bend vicinity. While most thunderstorm
activity is expected to remain offshore, a few thunderstorms may
approach the coast or near-shore waters. Severe thunderstorms are
not expected.

...Leitman.. 01/12/2025

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