Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective
To   : All
From : Mike Powell
Date : Sun Dec 08 2024 09:36:00

ACUS01 KWNS 081243
SWODY1
SPC AC 081242

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0642 AM CST Sun Dec 08 2024

Valid 081300Z - 091200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight.

....Discussion...
Split upper-level flow will initially prevail over the CONUS, with
an east/northeastward-accelerating southern-stream shortwave trough
advancing from the southern Plains to the Tennessee Valley and Lower
Ohio Valley, while an additional upper trough amplifies over the
Northwest. A broad area of warm advection will support scattered
elevated convection today near the upper Texas coast and southern
Louisiana, northward into North Texas/southeast Oklahoma and the
ArkLaTex region. The potential for lightning-producing convection is
expected to expand east-northeastward toward the ArkLaMiss and
Mid-South into tonight. Due to the elevated nature of the convection
and weak instability, severe weather is not expected.

...Guyer/Broyles.. 12/08/2024

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