Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective
To   : All
From : Mike Powell
Date : Tue Feb 06 2024 08:50:00

ACUS01 KWNS 061253
SWODY1
SPC AC 061251

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0651 AM CST Tue Feb 06 2024

Valid 061300Z - 071200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight.

....Southwest States...
An upper trough off the West Coast will continue eastward over
California today and reach other parts of the Great Basin/Southwest
Deserts and Baja vicinity late tonight. Lapse rates will steepen
across the region today with weak destabilization within the
post-cold frontal regime, and in proximity to the eastward-spreading
mid-level cold core.

Thunderstorms will initially be possible near/off the southern
California early today, and more so focused across the Lower
Colorado River Valley vicinity of southern California and southwest
Arizona by late afternoon and early evening. A few stronger
low-topped storms capable of small hail and/or gusty winds could
materialize, but weak overall buoyancy and weakening effective shear
should limit the potential for organized severe storms.

...Guyer/Leitman.. 02/06/2024

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