Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Predic
To   : All
From : Mike Powell
Date : Mon Jan 22 2024 09:10:00

ACUS02 KWNS 220700
SWODY2
SPC AC 220659

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1259 AM CST Mon Jan 22 2024

Valid 231200Z - 241200Z

....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE TEXAS COASTAL PLAIN AND FAR SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...

....SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms associated with marginally severe winds will be
possible on Tuesday from parts of the Texas Coastal Plain to far
southwest Louisiana.

....Texas Coastal Plain/Far Southwest Louisiana...
Anticyclonic southwest flow at mid-levels will be in place on
Tuesday from the southern Plains to the Appalachians Mountains. A
shortwave trough is forecast to move northeastward into the southern
Plains on Tuesday as an inverted trough at the surface deepens
across east Texas. Low-level convergence is forecast to be maximized
near the trough in southeast Texas, where scattered thunderstorms
are expected to form during the day. Moderate instability is
forecast to develop near and to east of the surface trough along the
lower to middle Texas coast. In addition, 0-6 km shear is forecast
to be around 60 knots, which suggests that an isolated severe threat
will be possible during the afternoon. The greatest severe threat is
forecast to be near and to the west of the Houston vicinity, where
isolated damaging wind gusts will be possible. A marginal tornado
threat will also be possible. The threat will likely be small in
area, and there is some uncertainty as to how far inland the severe
threat will be. For this reason, will maintain a marginal risk.

...Broyles.. 01/22/2024

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