Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Predic
To   : All
From : Mike Powell
Date : Wed Jan 17 2024 09:22:00

ACUS02 KWNS 170625
SWODY2
SPC AC 170624

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1224 AM CST Wed Jan 17 2024

Valid 181200Z - 191200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast on Thursday.

....Synopsis...

A shortwave upper trough embedded within a broader trough east of
the Rockies will pivot east from the southern Plains to the
Carolinas on Thursday. At the surface, a weak low will move in
tandem with the shortwave impulse across the Gulf coast states
vicinity. A trailing cold front will sweep southeast across the
Southeast during the period, extending from southern GA into the
northern Gulf of Mexico by Friday morning. Southerly low-level flow
ahead of the front will allow upper 50s to near 60 F dewpoints to
impinge on the central Gulf coast, with somewhat higher dewpoints
expected across central/southern FL. While boundary-layer moisture
will be greater across the FL Peninsula, poor lapse rates and
relatively warm midlevel temperatures will result in capping and
limit destabilization. A few lightning flashes may occur over parts
of the Peninsula, but severe storms are not expected.

...Leitman.. 01/17/2024

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