Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Dec 05 2025 12:32:17

ACUS01 KWNS 051232
SWODY1
SPC AC 051230

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0630 AM CST Fri Dec 05 2025

Valid 051300Z - 061200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Isolated thunderstorms may occur across parts of the Southeast
today, but severe thunderstorms are not expected.

....Synopsis and Discussion...
Enhanced west-southwesterly mid-level flow will persist across the
Southeast today, as large-scale upper troughing over the
central/eastern CONUS is further reinforced by multiple shortwave
troughs advancing east-southeastward. At the surface, a cold front
will slowly sag southeastward over south GA/north FL through the
period. Generally elevated thunderstorms may occur today along/north
of the front. But with poor mid-level lapse rates present, weak
low-level convergence due to veered southwesterly low-level winds,
and limited instability forecast, the chance for sustained
surface-based convection and related severe potential appears low.

...Gleason/Jewell.. 12/05/2025

$$

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