Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Oct 31 2025 17:06:57

ACUS02 KWNS 311706
SWODY2
SPC AC 311705

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1205 PM CDT Fri Oct 31 2025

Valid 011200Z - 021200Z

....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS COASTAL
TEXAS...

....SUMMARY...
Strong to isolated severe storms capable of large hail will be
possible on Saturday late afternoon/evening across portions of
Coastal Texas.

....Synopsis...
A positively tilted mid-level trough will amplify as it moves across
the southern Plains on Saturday. A cold front will accompany this
trough and race south across Texas during the day. Low-level
moisture will remain mostly offshore, but at least some deeper
moisture may push a few counties inland across the Texas coastal
counties.

....Texas Coast...
Mostly weak instability is forecast to develop across coastal areas
of south and southeast Texas on Saturday morning and afternoon as
temperatures warm into the 70s with dewpoints potentially as high as
the low 60s. A significant warm nose between 850 and 700mb will
suppress convection for much of the day. However, by late
afternoon/early evening, as forcing increases ahead of the
approaching trough and with the southward moving cold front, expect
inhibition to erode and scattered thunderstorms to develop. The
greatest instability will likely remain offshore or right along the
coast. Therefore, there is a relatively limited areal extent for
storm maturity. Nonetheless, expect a few strong to isolated severe
supercells to develop right along the coast with large hail as the
primary threat.

...Bentley.. 10/31/2025

$$

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