Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Oct 31 2025 12:21:53

ACUS01 KWNS 311221
SWODY1
SPC AC 311220

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0720 AM CDT Fri Oct 31 2025

Valid 311300Z - 011200Z

....NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Thunderstorm potential is low today and tonight.

....Discussion...
Highlighted by an amplifying longwave trough east of the Rockies and
the prevalence of continental trajectories, the large-scale pattern
will generally not be conducive for convection capable of generating
lightning today. A couple of lightning flashes could occur early
today across northern New England with focused ascent near the
surface low/northward-shifting front, but this potential will remain
limited and diminish over time. Weak elevated convection may develop
late tonight across west-central Texas in vicinity of the Low
Rolling Plains as warm advection increases, but forecast
thermodynamic profiles suggest that charge separation is unlikely
prior to 12z Saturday.

...Guyer/Kerr.. 10/31/2025

$$

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