Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Oct 30 2025 00:14:12

ACUS01 KWNS 300014
SWODY1
SPC AC 300012

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0712 PM CDT Wed Oct 29 2025

Valid 300100Z - 301200Z

....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC...

....SUMMARY...
A few strong to locally severe storms could occur late tonight and
early Thursday across eastern North Carolina and southeast Virginia.

....01z Update...

Earlier thoughts regarding severe thunderstorm potential tonight
remain.

Exit region of a strong 500mb speed max will shift into the western
Mid-Atlantic region late tonight as the midlevel jet translates
across the southern Appalachians into central NC by 30/12z. Weak
surface low, currently off the NC Coast, will be drawn inland and
low-level moisture/instability are expected to increase enough to
support robust updrafts. Large-scale forcing is expected to aid this
development, but convection should be focused ahead of the front
late tonight. Low probabilities for wind and tornadoes continue.

...Darrow.. 10/30/2025

$$

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