Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2184
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Oct 26 2025 11:18:09

ACUS11 KWNS 261118
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 261117=20
MSZ000-LAZ000-261245-

Mesoscale Discussion 2184
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0617 AM CDT Sun Oct 26 2025

Areas affected...Parts of southeastern Louisiana and southern
Mississippi

Concerning...Tornado Watch 633...

Valid 261117Z - 261245Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 633 continues.

SUMMARY...A notable uptick in thunderstorm intensity is evident
across parts of southeastern Louisiana into southern Mississippi --
within Tornado Watch 633. This trend may continue for at least
another couple hours, with a risk for a couple tornadoes.

DISCUSSION...The latest radar and lightning data indicate an
increase in thunderstorm intensity/organization over the last hour
-- generally in a north-south corridor extending from southeast LA
into southern MS. A couple radar-confirmed tornadoes have been noted
with this activity. The broken band of supercells are evolving
east-northeastward in an environment characterized by
enlarged/clockwise-curved low-level hodographs (upwards of 250 m2/s2
0-1 km SRH per VWP) and lower 70s boundary-layer dewpoints. As these
established storms and favorable environment continue spreading
eastward this morning, the risk for couple tornadoes will continue
across Tornado Watch 633.

...Weinman.. 10/26/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!93NY0B0kaBUzcdKLrF_3rH04lOu--98xsibal49bsqH1tecZ7g1PasTR-W_uhLVaBipFN044G=
_VH8d0OWA4MOCHOJvY$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...

LAT...LON   29629090 31309002 31438983 31428945 31238921 30178952
            29199002 29109032 29359081 29629090=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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