Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Oct 09 2025 16:10:10

ACUS01 KWNS 091610
SWODY1
SPC AC 091608

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1108 AM CDT Thu Oct 09 2025

Valid 091630Z - 101200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe storms are not forecast today or tonight.

....Discussion...
Upper ridging will be prevalent over the Rockies/Plains, with
surface high pressure over the Midwest and much of the East. While
severe storms are not expected, thunderstorms will occur across the
coastal Southeast, and across the Upper Midwest and portions of the
middle/lower Missouri Valley tonight near/ahead of an advancing
front.

In the West, persistent southwesterly flow between the upper ridging
centered over west Texas and cyclone off the Pacific Northwest will
continue to advect seasonally high moisture content associated with
Tropical Storm Priscilla into the Southwest and Great Basin. Modest
boundary-layer heating will contribute to adequate destabilization
for lightning within deeper convective updrafts, but overall storm
intensity will likely be limited by poor lapse rates.

...Guyer/Jewell.. 10/09/2025

$$

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