Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2044
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Sep 06 2025 18:05:53

ACUS11 KWNS 061805
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061805=20
SCZ000-GAZ000-NCZ000-062000-

Mesoscale Discussion 2044
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0105 PM CDT Sat Sep 06 2025

Areas affected...Northern GA into western SC

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 061805Z - 062000Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated wind damage will be possible with the stronger
thunderstorms this afternoon. A watch is not currently expected.

DISCUSSION...Along/ahead of the trailing portion of a slow-moving
cold front extending into northern GA, thunderstorms are beginning
to increase in intensity and coverage -- potentially aided by a
convectively enhanced midlevel impulse approaching the area from the
west. Continued differential heating amid lower 70s dewpoints will
destabilize the inflow for these storms as they spread/develop
eastward through the afternoon. While generally weak deep-layer
flow/shear (per FFC VWP) should favor outflow dominant storms,
enhanced westerly flow in the 6-8-km layer (preceding the midlevel
impulse) may promote a few loosely organized clusters, with a risk
of locally damaging wind gusts through the afternoon.

...Weinman/Hart.. 09/06/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!82NhoWdeGS-BuPNjAWb3A9X_0b0usUbzjtnzuYwLlxCmn6lqxgX6RyTKABmpBfwe5N5Toj0qF=
MMHk5dTe_feZAbB_UI$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CAE...GSP...MRX...FFC...

LAT...LON   34118498 34448463 34868391 35168301 35128253 34808212
            34228228 33288319 32978391 32988442 33288483 33698502
            34118498=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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