Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2040
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Sep 06 2025 01:21:39

ACUS11 KWNS 060120
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 060120=20
VAZ000-WVZ000-KYZ000-TNZ000-060245-

Mesoscale Discussion 2040
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0820 PM CDT Fri Sep 05 2025

Areas affected...TN/KY

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 606...

Valid 060120Z - 060245Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 606
continues.

SUMMARY...A diminishing severe threat is anticipated through late
evening, mainly across parts of Tennessee and Kentucky. Additional
Severe Thunderstorm Watch issuance is not expected.

DISCUSSION...An earlier cluster over southern Middle TN weakened
substantially, with the near-term severe threat largely focused
across northern Middle into northeast TN with a short cluster.
Redeveloping convection to the west along the cold front will likely
struggle to intensify given that the decayed remnants of the earlier
cluster having pushed outflow into far north AL. This is similarly
underway across KY where earlier convection across eastern KY into
WV has diminished and stabilized the environment somewhat ahead of
separate convection trailing along the cold front.

...Grams.. 09/06/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!59GZ7-oAsed37ZHUmG714n1XROrICfabuA5chE--B8y6D3mwjDBelsgBAhp5LzyGJ475E7-wO=
uBGQ4N7OfjoSeUUWQE$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...RLX...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...MEG...

LAT...LON   37808236 37578203 36698271 36008359 35658516 35828627
            35638761 35608828 35848848 36108816 36618663 37338569
            37888408 37878302 37808236=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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