Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Aug 30 2025 05:52:37

ACUS01 KWNS 300552
SWODY1
SPC AC 300551

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1251 AM CDT Sat Aug 30 2025

Valid 301200Z - 311200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
A few strong thunderstorms will be possible across parts of the
southern and central Plains today, but any severe potential should
remain low.

....DISCUSSION...
Flow at mid-levels will remain northwesterly over the top of a moist
airmass today in the southern and central Plains. A weak upslope
flow regime will be in place to the east of a surface trough over
eastern New Mexico and the Texas Panhandle. As surface temperatures
warm during the day across this airmass, scattered thunderstorms
will develop. Isolated storms may form near the surface trough and
instability axis, with increased convective coverage further to the
east in the less unstable air. A few strong storms will be possible
in areas where convection is co-located with maximized instability.
However, lapse rates will be weak suggesting that the severe
potential will remain low in the southern and central Plains today.
Elsewhere across the continental U.S., no severe threat is expected
today and tonight.

...Broyles/Thornton.. 08/30/2025

$$

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