Subj : OUTLOOK: Nws National Hur
To   : All
From : Mike Powell
Date : Sun Aug 17 2025 10:11:07

ABNT20 KNHC 171131
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Erin, north of the Lesser Antilles.

Northwestern Atlantic:
A broad area of low pressure located a couple hundred miles off the
coast of North Carolina is producing limited showers and
thunderstorms well to the east of the center.  Development, if any,
of this system should be slow to occur during the next day or so
while it drifts generally eastward.  The opportunity for development
should end on Monday when environmental upper-level wind conditions
are expected to become unfavorable.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located near the Cabo Verde Islands is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Some gradual development of
this system is possible during the middle to latter portion of the
week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to
20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Roberts
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