Subj : OUTLOOK: Nws National Hur
To   : All
From : Mike Powell
Date : Thu Aug 14 2025 08:52:52

ABNT20 KNHC 141139
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Aug 14 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Erin, located over the central tropical Atlantic.

Southwestern Gulf (AL98):
A broad area of low pressure located over the Bay of Campeche is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The low is
forecast to move west-northwestward across the southwestern Gulf
during the next day or two, where environmental conditions are
marginally conducive for further development.  The system is
expected to move inland over northeastern Mexico or southern Texas
by late Friday, ending its chances of tropical cyclone formation.
Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible along
portions of northeastern Mexico and southern Texas over the next
few days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Bucci/Pasch
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