Subj : OUTLOOK: Nws National Hur
To   : All
From : Mike Powell
Date : Fri Aug 08 2025 08:49:40

ABNT20 KNHC 081130
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Aug 8 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Off the Southeastern United States:
A weak area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles off
the coast of North Carolina is producing a few disorganized showers
and thunderstorms.  Development of this system, if any, is expected
to be slow to occur over the next day or two while it moves
northeastward at 10 to 15 mph.  The low is likely to merge with a
front over the weekend, ending its chances for tropical or
subtropical development.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Central Atlantic (AL96):
A tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic is producing
minimal shower activity.  Development of this system appears
unlikely during the next day or two due to surrounding dry air, but
environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive in a
few days.  A tropical depression could form during the early
or middle part of next week while the system moves northwestward to
northward across the central tropical and subtropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg
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