Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1840
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Jul 30 2025 01:36:57

ACUS11 KWNS 300136
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 300136=20
NEZ000-300300-

Mesoscale Discussion 1840
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0836 PM CDT Tue Jul 29 2025

Areas affected...portions of central into eastern Nebraska

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

Valid 300136Z - 300300Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...Some increase in severe gusts may be noted with a
strengthening MCS across central Nebraska. Convective trends are
being monitored for the need of a Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

DISCUSSION...A cold-pool-driven, elongated convective system has
recently oriented more normal to the deep-layer shear vector, which
may be supporting bowing features. Furthermore, the MCS is
propagating into the axis of maximum buoyancy (5000-6000 J/kg
MLCAPE) and minimal MLCINH. Therefore, it is plausible to witness an
increase in severe wind gusts over the next few hours, and a Severe
Thunderstorm Watch may be needed to address this threat.

...Squitieri/Mosier.. 07/30/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!_lPSoyP3Mw6vNTJ6YWYGNk13QwRdIDAm1udcde_-krhZ0-EAyLbnwtNjCikYC6HXDCow8_hGK=
BC9h25LZmRcAuMwJ2s$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OAX...GID...LBF...

LAT...LON   41559939 41859844 41969717 41729645 41229594 40659588
            40519607 40359657 40139796 40169883 40189947 41559939=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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