Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1811
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Jul 27 2025 19:58:46

ACUS11 KWNS 271957
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 271957=20
NCZ000-VAZ000-272200-

Mesoscale Discussion 1811
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0257 PM CDT Sun Jul 27 2025

Areas affected...central/eastern North Carolina...southern Virginia

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 271957Z - 272200Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorm activity will promote a few
instances of strong to severe wind this afternoon.

DISCUSSION...Scattered thunderstorm activity has increased in
coverage across portions of eastern North Carolina this afternoon.
The air mass in this region is very hot and unstable, but deep layer
shear for a more organized severe threat remains weak. Given the
deep moisture and strong instability, a few wet downbursts may
produce some instances of strong to severe wind. Overall, this
threat will remain too isolated for watch issuance.

...Thornton/Guyer.. 07/27/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!9Jh8ZTma9h_sJIZOtdVVC2KpVx1jBrfoPHB0MJKQYqSx4kK2oj6SwiiPzEf3HXEgPCwGS4iv5=
lanjfgecAFBbmpG67w$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...

LAT...LON   35687819 36527731 36627645 36137555 35577535 34837609
            34627703 34487763 34497816 34947850 35687819=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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