Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1784
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Jul 25 2025 23:10:26

ACUS11 KWNS 252310
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 252309=20
NJZ000-PAZ000-MDZ000-DEZ000-260045-

Mesoscale Discussion 1784
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0609 PM CDT Fri Jul 25 2025

Areas affected...Southeast PA...central/southern
NJ...DE...northern/eastern MD

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 542...

Valid 252309Z - 260045Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 542
continues.

SUMMARY...In the wake of earlier storms, locally damaging winds
remain possible before remaining storms weaken later this evening.

DISCUSSION...A storm cluster with a history of producing wind damage
is approaching the southern NJ coast as of 23 UTC this evening.
Pockets of moderate buoyancy persist in the wake of earlier
convection, and also south of the outflow into parts of eastern MD
and DE. Effective shear of 30-40 kt remains favorable for organized
convection, and a few stronger cells/clusters are possible through
dusk, with locally damaging wind possible. Eventually, nocturnal
cooling and the stabilizing effects of outflow should lead to a
weakening trend later this evening.

...Dean.. 07/25/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!78zcqqYVDzvU14prYpwF7b19lqN3MABk4Z8Ipr9anSiMYcMSSMEDIIhgYcgkLxp8l2Vly0Oev=
bdUzPj2qCcIXTmpXRk$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...CTP...LWX...

LAT...LON   40277754 40937703 40817547 40397455 39717388 39187419
            38387477 38117562 38727651 39457761 39857754 40277754=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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