Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1773
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Jul 24 2025 20:09:48

ACUS11 KWNS 242008
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242008=20
MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-242215-

Mesoscale Discussion 1773
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0308 PM CDT Thu Jul 24 2025

Areas affected...portions of eastern KS into northwest MO

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 242008Z - 242215Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated strong wind gusts are possible the remainder of
the afternoon.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms have gradually increased in intensity
this afternoon amid a very moist and moderately unstable airmass.
Vertical shear will remain modest, with effective shear magnitude
only expected to be around 20 kt. Nevertheless, strong instability
and high PW values near 2 inches could support isolated wet
microbursts within this weakly sheared environment. North and east
extent of strong/severe potential may remain somewhat limited due to
early day convection and lingering cloud cover across northern MO.
Weak inhibition remains over this area and instability is somewhat
less. At this time, the overall threat appears limited/transient and
a severe thunderstorm watch is not currently expected.

...Leitman/Guyer.. 07/24/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!69aoAPJnVDTw_cPwrDgN5YBYvgjVCV6HezNP9BFU1IS5K74O95H_3xI-268krqFz9T6-2FfXQ=
Qf3CAlm4NaKq_M2plI$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...

LAT...LON   39819328 39549312 39049315 38679361 38419419 37949586
            37889683 38329754 38889757 39479670 40069522 39999364
            39819328=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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