Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1741
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Jul 20 2025 23:08:22

ACUS11 KWNS 202308
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 202307=20
MAZ000-MEZ000-NHZ000-RIZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-210030-

Mesoscale Discussion 1741
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0607 PM CDT Sun Jul 20 2025

Areas affected...Parts of southeast New England

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 530...

Valid 202307Z - 210030Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 530
continues.

SUMMARY...Damaging wind remains possible this evening before storms
move offshore.

DISCUSSION...A small cluster of storms has recently intensified and
produced some reports of wind damage, and will likely continue to
pose some severe threat to the coast, within a modestly unstable and
favorably sheared environment. An embedded supercell within this
cluster could also pose a short-term threat for a brief tornado.=20

Storms farther north into eastern MA have been somewhat less
organized, but the KBOX VWP currently shows moderate (25-35 kt)
westerly flow in the 1-3 km AGL layer, and there is some potential
for these storms to locally intensify and pose at least a localized
wind-damage threat before moving offshore later this evening.

...Dean.. 07/20/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!-ppzkrj1jkMtp0nAFTRhn3Me1NWIMvHyGC5NbX04Dg3vUuHhz7UYLQ1ebRrW028FxkggnuwKd=
LP_gLZ7EkOmGXx__ys$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...OKX...ALY...

LAT...LON   40837250 40847307 41257316 41577314 41697284 41977175
            42477147 43307097 43237063 42447034 41617052 41197116
            40907236 40837250=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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