Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1728
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Jul 19 2025 22:53:13

ACUS11 KWNS 192253
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 192252=20
NEZ000-200015-

Mesoscale Discussion 1728
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0552 PM CDT Sat Jul 19 2025

Areas affected...Central Nebraska

Concerning...Tornado Watch 526...

Valid 192252Z - 200015Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 526 continues.

SUMMARY...Large to very-large hail, severe winds, and a tornado or
two remain possible. The greatest tornado risk will be with
supercells near I-80 in south-central Nebraska this evening.

DISCUSSION...Two areas of more intense activity are evident in
regional radar imagery. A severe storm southeast of Ainsworth has a
history of producing large hail. This storm will continue moving
southeastward. A continued risk for large hail and severe winds will
accompany this storm, though a pocket of cooler air is also noted in
surface observations downstream.

Another cluster of storms near and east of North Platte will
continue southeast, roughly along I-80. The lead supercell has had a
history of producing 2.75-3 inch measured hail. Activity to the west
produced 1.75 inch hail in North Platte recently. Should the lead
supercell maintain intensity, it would pose the greatest tornado
risk. Low-level hodographs will marginally improve this evening,
though the low-level jet response in southern Nebraska is not
expected to be strong.

...Wendt.. 07/19/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!_t8aUeVD8iia4Ld5iFn5T9QTTKsj_32GkMBUseLpa_9n_chhEtOPRJ1o32o5NT25ZgbJHFFz9=
s8QopI24Vf3yMx6FOY$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...GLD...

LAT...LON   41010106 41400090 41690032 41729986 41789966 41979964
            42149969 42689976 42859955 42719892 42609865 42179842
            41879852 41629904 41149910 40769911 40379948 40189970
            40149993 40310043 41010106=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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