Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1727 To : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu From : COD Weather Processor Date : Sat Jul 19 2025 22:53:07 ACUS11 KWNS 192251 SWOMCD SPC MCD 192250=20 VAZ000-MDZ000-NCZ000-200015- Mesoscale Discussion 1727 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0550 PM CDT Sat Jul 19 2025 Areas affected...Central and eastern Virginia...north-central and northeastern North Carolina Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 526... Valid 192250Z - 200015Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 526 continues. SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue moving east/northeast across the watch area through early evening, posing a risk for strong/isolated damaging gusts. DISCUSSION...A couple clusters of thunderstorms continue to move generally east/northeast across central and eastern portions of the watch area at of 2250z. Moderate instability (MLCAPE 2000-locally 2500 J/kg) and around 25 kts of westerly shear will continue to support a loosely-organized multicell cluster storm mode, with isolated potential for strong/locally damaging gusts. A northward lifting outflow boundary in between the James River and middle Peninsula may serve to concentrate the potential for a longer-lived cluster of storms in this area in the next 2 to 3 hours. ...Bunting.. 07/19/2025 ....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_P4Jd4akYpmDy7_7dAgT9-a0k3GUGXY-CrOFAJji14QAta9rsoK8Yr_h9k1HUjCyus0kiR-dt= wbwQh75Nmw1jU5Yxuc$ for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RAH...RNK... LAT...LON 36297556 36127758 36237817 36427859 37327855 37937809 38217783 38447751 38367690 38287640 38127612 37767581 37087593 36297556=20 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH =3D =3D =3D To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105) .