Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1695
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Jul 16 2025 23:43:41

ACUS11 KWNS 162343
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 162343=20
OHZ000-MIZ000-INZ000-170115-

Mesoscale Discussion 1695
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0643 PM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025

Areas affected...Michigan...northeastern Indiana...northwestern Ohio

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 162343Z - 170115Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...A few instances of strong to severe wind may linger
downstream of WW520. Overall, the threat is likely to diminish and
downstream watch issuance is unlikely.

DISCUSSION...A line of storms moving across northern Indiana has
shown signs of weakening over the last hour. A couple of reports
around 40-55 mph were noted earlier. The downstream air mass remains
unstable but deep layer shear is overall marginal. CAM guidance
generally suggests this line will continue to weaken with loss of
daytime heating. A downstream watch is unlikely to be needed.

...Thornton.. 07/16/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!6RyC4tKt9rbWewknJ0hHw-UijbKvILIJ-acZIR6R2vSwafwqzvoYIkSrFugeAa3lha26Ir7DK=
nqQk9BpFsVH7P1ZJas$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...DTX...IWX...GRR...IND...

LAT...LON   41668612 42088564 42238461 42098405 41728360 41428349
            40978379 40738393 40568402 40308470 40298527 40598590
            40688609 41668612=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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