Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1685
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Jul 16 2025 17:41:09

ACUS11 KWNS 161741
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161740=20
OHZ000-WVZ000-KYZ000-161945-

Mesoscale Discussion 1685
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1240 PM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025

Areas affected...Central/Southern OH into Far Northern KY

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 161740Z - 161945Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Increasing thunderstorm coverage is expected across
central/southern Ohio and far northern Kentucky this afternoon.
Isolated damaging gusts are possible with a few of these
thunderstorm clusters.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm coverage is expected to increase across
central/southern OH and far northern KY over the next few hours as
the well-defined MCV currently over far southeast IN progresses
northeastward into the moist and destabilizing downstream airmass.
Deep-layer flow across the region is modest, resulting in a
predominantly multicellular storm mode. However, some enhanced
low/mid-level southwesterlies will accompany the MCV, which could
contribute to a few loosely organized, northeastward-progressing
clusters capable of isolated damaging gusts. Limited severe coverage
is expected to preclude the need for watch.

...Mosier/Smith.. 07/16/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!6n954uQGDOkDZ7oAizscFdaZHNxN2Y92pCG5GmenkkZwaQq1hv7yZVetVtdsdbJW8dqKH2_La=
SSCucgHwtCTcxc3aYY$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...JKL...ILN...LMK...IWX...

LAT...LON   40048474 40848401 41008225 40288168 38668224 38128386
            38938467 40048474=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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