Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1610
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Jul 08 2025 22:47:33

ACUS11 KWNS 082247
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082246=20
NYZ000-CTZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-DEZ000-VAZ000-MDZ000-DCZ000-090045-

Mesoscale Discussion 1610
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0546 PM CDT Tue Jul 08 2025

Areas affected...Middle Atlantic

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 496...

Valid 082246Z - 090045Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 496
continues.

SUMMARY...Scattered strong-severe thunderstorms will spread across
eastern and southern portions of ww496 over the next several hours.
Damaging winds are the primary concern.

DISCUSSION...Loosely organized band of strong-severe thunderstorms
is spreading across the Middle Atlantic early this evening. This
activity is propagating across an instability axis characterized by
MLCAPE on the order of 2000 J/kg. Surface temperatures are holding
near 90F along the coast and modest westerly flow should encourage a
robust squall line to spread offshore over the next several hours.
Damaging winds can be expected with this convection.

...Darrow.. 07/08/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!7KfoCrfmZwMporD6AlACAK9beMZ6wnpcsBZ4YEnaAv9YgTj_rlQ2FrA2M983Fbb64LATLEVTm=
f-ARq8ja9R-8TJqCgU$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OKX...PHI...BGM...AKQ...CTP...LWX...RNK...

LAT...LON   37007963 41137559 41137271 36997691 37007963=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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