Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Jul 08 2025 00:43:57

ACUS01 KWNS 080043
SWODY1
SPC AC 080042

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0742 PM CDT Mon Jul 07 2025

Valid 080100Z - 081200Z

....THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS...

....SUMMARY...
Scattered severe thunderstorms will be concentrated across portions
of the central and northern Plains. Severe wind and large hail are
the main threats.

....01z Update...

Mid-level short-wave trough is progressing across the upper Red
River Valley, and 500mb flow is gradually strengthening across the
northern/central Plains. Associated synoptic front currently extends
from eastern ND-central SD-near CYS. This boundary will advance
slowly into northern MN, but is not expected to move appreciably
across the central High Plains. Convection has largely concentrated
along/near the wind shift, but large convective-free gaps are noted,
especially over central NE. Even so, there is some expectation for
at least isolated robust convection to develop over central NE,
partially due to some influence in outflow aiding low-level
convergence near the frontal zone. Latest radar data suggests a
larger cluster of strong-severe thunderstorms near the SD/NE/IA
border will continue to propagate south-southeast, but LLJ is not
particularly strong into this complex. Higher-based convection is
also concentrated over southwest NE into northwest KS. This activity
will also propagate southeast with an attendant risk for wind/hail.
Overall, low-level convergence is seasonally weak and this will
likely result in scattered pockets of semi-organized convection much
of the evening.

...Darrow.. 07/08/2025

$$

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.