Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Jul 07 2025 16:27:18

ACUS01 KWNS 071626
SWODY1
SPC AC 071624

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1124 AM CDT Mon Jul 07 2025

Valid 071630Z - 081200Z

....THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING FROM NORTHEAST COLORADO INTO PARTS OF NEBRASKA AND SOUTH
DAKOTA....

....SUMMARY...
Scattered severe storms are likely across the central into northern
Plains. Severe wind gusts and large hail are the main threats.
Isolated damaging winds are also possible across parts of the Lower
Great Lakes, Ohio/Tennessee River Valleys, and the Northeast.

....SD/NE/KS/CO...
A complex evolution of convection is expected this afternoon and
evening across the central Plains.  One line/cluster of
thunderstorms is expected to develop from the showers across SD.
Continued daytime heating will eventually lead to intensification
and organization of storms building southeastward into NE and
western IA.  These storms will pose a risk of large hail and
damaging winds.

Farther southwest, storms are expected to develop and spread
eastward across southeast WY and northeast CO (similar to yesterday)
and eventually track into western NE/KS.  These storms will also
pose risk of damaging winds and hail through the early evening.

It appears likely that these two convective regimes will congeal
during the evening, with more of a southward push into KS and
eventually northern OK late tonight, although the severe risk by
that time is uncertain.

....OH to ME...
A warm/humid air mass is present today from OH northeastward across
parts of NY/PA and northern New England.  Widely scattered afternoon
thunderstorms are expected along this entire corridor.  Strong
daytime heating will result in steep low-level lapse rates, with
sufficient mid-level westerly flow to aid in gusty/damaging wind
gusts.

...Hart/Karstens.. 07/07/2025

$$

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.