Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1525
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Jun 30 2025 19:07:24

ACUS11 KWNS 301907
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 301906=20
ILZ000-MOZ000-302100-

Mesoscale Discussion 1525
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0206 PM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025

Areas affected...northern MO and central IL

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 301906Z - 302100Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Locally strong gusts and small hail will be possible with
storms developing along a cold front and sagging southeast into
early evening.

DISCUSSION...Gradual convective development has been underway along
the trailing portion of a weak southwest/northeast-oriented cold
front, ahead of a minor MCV over the northern KC Metro Area.
Somewhat greater boundary-layer heating has occurred ahead of the IL
portion of the front, which may aid in strong gust potential later
as storm coverage increases along the front. Low to mid-level wind
profiles are decidedly weak and westerly ahead of the MCV per area
VWPs. As such, organizational potential appears rather limited.
Pulse-type wet microbursts and loose clustering should pose a risk
of localized strong gusts.

...Grams/Hart.. 06/30/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!9YKtQ06rjTDv8EK6NZ0nnXdhfWz3XNWrgnSNeLai63o7MmTKixQFjT3QUMoj-9vD_E4c8NC1a=
pla52og2ZzOjPljTfk$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...LSX...DVN...EAX...

LAT...LON   39149417 39569440 39769370 40029241 40279137 40649023
            40748989 41158812 41118779 40788779 39938852 39308983
            39189167 39209243 39149417=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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