Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1463
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Jun 26 2025 22:32:14

ACUS11 KWNS 262232
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262231=20
IAZ000-MOZ000-KSZ000-270000-

Mesoscale Discussion 1463
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0531 PM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025

Areas affected...portions of central and eastern Iowa into
northwestern Missouri

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 465...

Valid 262231Z - 270000Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 465
continues.

SUMMARY...Strong to severe gusts remain possible for several more
hours.

DISCUSSION...Multiple multicells and short-line segments have
loosely organized into a persistent-elongated MCS across central IA
into northwestern MO along a confluence zone. These storms, likely
driven eastward by a common cold pool, will continue maintain some
degree of intensity given preceding surface temperatures over 90F
amid low 70s dewpoints, yielding 2500+ J/kg MLCAPE and minimal
convective inhibition. As such, wet downbursts in the stronger
storms may still support strong to occasionally severe gusts given
the favorable buoyancy and mixed boundary layer in place.

...Squitieri.. 06/26/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!7bbLc3qPCTIsUsrUv98cTj4v-dZlYWO7qsojgn_3i-CgH1djCOFQfgnPXJFw3NqWKHB8Qg0N2=
SdsYbL5iFWaTogRLr4$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...DVN...ARX...DMX...EAX...TOP...

LAT...LON   39679549 40829463 42229363 42999237 42989149 42559132
            41069237 40249284 39689348 39499389 39459442 39679549=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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