Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1414
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Jun 23 2025 03:04:53

ACUS11 KWNS 230304
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 230303=20
SDZ000-NEZ000-230430-

Mesoscale Discussion 1414
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1003 PM CDT Sun Jun 22 2025

Areas affected...Central Nebraska...Southeast South Dakota

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 453...

Valid 230303Z - 230430Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 453
continues.

SUMMARY...Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will likely
continue for several hours across parts of central NE and southeast
SD.  A few instances of large hail will remain possible, but the
primary severe threat is diminishing.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms continue to persist and increase in areal
coverage to the north of a surface cold front extending across
central NE.  All of the storms in this region are elevated, but in
an environment of sufficient CAPE/shear to maintain some risk of
large hail for a few more hours.  While there is some potential for
a watch extension beyond 04z, the primary severe concern appears to
be diminishing.

...Hart.. 06/23/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!-6sj8mVKWFkKN9LaL3137iNdZajzWXfO4lWMKqK63X9anW1EMDqkSFom_PNBVP7Qv6MP3i2cN=
2stpIcJYeVbk8InwsM$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...ABR...LBF...UNR...

LAT...LON   42930021 44349829 44329685 43499692 42279847 40680119
            41870070 42930021=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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