Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1370
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Jun 19 2025 20:34:47

ACUS11 KWNS 192034
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 192034=20
MEZ000-NHZ000-MAZ000-VTZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-NJZ000-192230-

Mesoscale Discussion 1370
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0334 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025

Areas affected...New York City into New England

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 441...443...

Valid 192034Z - 192230Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 441, 443
continues.

SUMMARY...As temperatures have warmed in New England, storms have
shown some intensification recently. Wind damage remains possible
late this afternoon.

DISCUSSION...Strong to severe storms continue from the New York City
vicinity into New England. With pockets of upper 80s/low 90s F in
parts of New England, storms have actually shown a modest increase
in intensity over the last couple hours. Activity has remained more
cellular with southern extent. These cells will continue moving
northeast through the afternoon. Isolated wind damage is possible.
Farther north, Effective shear and forcing for ascent are greater. A
linear segment is moving north-northeast in northern Vermont.
Additional strong storms in southern Quebec may eventually impact
portions of western/northern Maine. Even though temperatures have
remained cooler in Maine, stronger forcing should still promote a
wind damage threat.

...Wendt.. 06/19/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!7u2Ng7UxlnV8m_w45sY2JpoL6-qRq8gYfGOE3D40MivU4QbBosy2OKgWc2xm9wdFQsiawuqOj=
pBvuX-jFvwOUux0-tI$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...PHI...

LAT...LON   42017205 40907320 40607436 40907443 41297408 41607382
            42307355 44287333 45017303 46047234 46916954 46346909
            44427002 42017205=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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