Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Jun 14 2025 00:47:51

ACUS01 KWNS 140047
SWODY1
SPC AC 140046

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0746 PM CDT Fri Jun 13 2025

Valid 140100Z - 141200Z

....THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE
HIGH PLAINS FROM SOUTHEAST MONTANA TO NORTHWEST TEXAS...

....SUMMARY...
Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected this evening across much
of the High Plains from southeast Montana into northwest Texas. Hail
and wind remain the primary concern.

....01z Update...

Mid-level speed max is currently translating across the northern
Rockies and this feature should suppress the height field across
western/northern MT as the evening progresses. Scattered
strong-severe thunderstorms have developed ahead of the short wave
and this activity will propagate across southeastern MT over the
next several hours. Farther south across eastern WY/CO, high-level
diffluent flow is contributing to scattered robust convection where
moist southeasterly low-level flow has persisted, and is currently
contributing to a corridor of moderate-strong instability. Some
increase in the LLJ across the central High Plains may enhance the
longevity of this convection, though deep-layer flow is somewhat
lacking. More isolated strong/severe convection is also noted along
the NM/TX border. These storms will propagate southeast with an
attendant risk for some hail/wind.

...Darrow.. 06/14/2025

$$

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