Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1221
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Jun 09 2025 17:21:35

ACUS11 KWNS 091721
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 091720=20
SCZ000-GAZ000-FLZ000-091915-

Mesoscale Discussion 1221
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1220 PM CDT Mon Jun 09 2025

Areas affected...portions of north FL and southeast GA

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 091720Z - 091915Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Locally strong wind gusts may occur this afternoon with
thunderstorm activity developing east/northeast across the region.

DISCUSSION...A cluster of thunderstorms across southern GA has
occasionally shown near-severe level velocity signatures on radar of
the past 30 minutes, and a gust to 55 mph was noted in Lowndes
County GA. This activity is occurring within a moderately unstable
but weakly sheared environment. Given weak shear, thunderstorms will
likely remain somewhat disorganized. However, steep low-level lapse
rates and PW values near 2 inches may support water-loaded
downdrafts and sporadic strong downburst winds as convection
develops east/northeast through the afternoon. Overall severe
potential is expected to remain limited and a watch is not
anticipated at this time.

...Leitman/Mosier.. 06/09/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!7WtyjlZDu5LVs6LdOj5RzjpEnTjSsHM8yypxG2BXYvyygSHRCaWMQ8NHx-QEnpb5_RETYdX7l=
-KQN_auORTyYFZmHwU$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX...FFC...TAE...

LAT...LON   31158401 31818316 32358170 32318115 31958085 31598093
            31098125 30578174 30288310 30378349 30748407 31158401=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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