Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1207
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Jun 08 2025 22:11:10

ACUS11 KWNS 082211
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082210=20
OKZ000-TXZ000-082345-

Mesoscale Discussion 1207
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0510 PM CDT Sun Jun 08 2025

Areas affected...portions of the Texas Panhandle

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 394...396...

Valid 082210Z - 082345Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 394, 396
continues.

SUMMARY...Multiple supercells will continue over the next few hours
with a significant-severe wind/hail threat. A tornado may also
accompany the more dominant, discrete supercells with unimpeded
inflow.

DISCUSSION...Multiple supercells have matured across the TX
Panhandle over the last few hours, with 4+ inch hail recently
reported with the Hall/Briscoe County, TX border storm, and a
tornado reported in Dallam County, TX. Supercells across the TX
Panhandle are gradually merging, and the development into an MCS may
occur over the next 3-4 hours. At the moment, there are two
supercells that are remaining more discrete (Hall/Briscoe County and
Hartley County). These storms have relatively pristine inflow of
4000+ J/kg MLCAPE, which will support a risk for either 4-5 inch
diameter hail or a tornado for the next few hours. Severe gusts
remain possible with all storms. 75+ mph gusts are most likely with
mature storms that merge.

...Squitieri.. 06/08/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!43RTfu3RIONBuFfv5Z4TU_uxwnV6OfMQFLeRB-HgG_v58lWaHS674kZ7xUMZUthkq1s0Hylbx=
b8CBdPV5VVZ1dnk4Fc$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...

LAT...LON   36310300 36510140 35990037 34949946 34509949 34260060
            34780236 35000289 36310300=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...4.00+ IN


=3D =3D =3D
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