Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1201
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Jun 08 2025 18:36:39

ACUS11 KWNS 081836
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 081835=20
MSZ000-LAZ000-082030-

Mesoscale Discussion 1201
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0135 PM CDT Sun Jun 08 2025

Areas affected...portions of LA and southwest MS

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

Valid 081835Z - 082030Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...Thunderstorm clusters may produce sporadic strong gusts
this afternoon.

DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms across northern LA will continue to
propagate south/southeast this afternoon. Additional isolated storms
have also developed further south from central LA into southern MS,
likely along residual outflow and a band of differential heating.
Large-scale ascent is somewhat nebulous across the region, but a
band of moderate west/northwest flow aloft will persist. Strong
heating an dewpoints well into the 70s F is supporting strong
MLCAPE. Sporadic robust updrafts are possible over the next several
hours and occasional strong gusts will be possible. While a severe
thunderstorm watch is not expected immediately, trends will be
monitored.

...Leitman/Guyer.. 06/08/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!4A7VQXec7nKPIk-0x3pZur6i6_XCGczSu_4JID3x8gxMe15AQizMt7J4bc4aN9XeFzTQDWpF8=
er9klcFyGnPywh8qUo$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...

LAT...LON   32389332 32639188 32059089 31069121 30729248 30899328
            31729353 32149370 32389332=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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