Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1159
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Jun 06 2025 22:56:46

ACUS11 KWNS 062256
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 062255=20
KYZ000-TNZ000-070030-

Mesoscale Discussion 1159
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0555 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025

Areas affected...portions of southern Kentucky into western and
middle Tennessee

Concerning...Tornado Watch 376...

Valid 062255Z - 070030Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 376 continues.

SUMMARY...A couple instances of damaging gusts or hail may accompany
the stronger storms across the remainder of Tornado Watch 376 and
surrounding areas. A downstream WW issuance is not anticipated.

DISCUSSION...An overall downward trend in storm intensity has been
noted across portions of the TN Valley, including with storms that
are moving across Tornado Watch 376. NLDN lightning data suggests
that the frequency of lightning has begun decreasing, with echoes
around 30 kft dropping below 40 dBZ over several locales.
Furthermore, the preceding warm sector downstream of ongoing storms
has experienced some degree of modification, which will also
contribute to weakening trends. In the more immediate future (next
hour or so), some of the stronger storms, especially those in
western toward middle TN, have some warm-sector buoyancy left to
ingest to support a couple instances of isolated, marginally severe
wind and/or hail.

...Squitieri.. 06/06/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!-Hw0kv1-TUVGxIwolEdAAF2SGokqtbtfjDl5HH5pCdHXixX6HkFq42uxGYLfacD6juIiNe61p=
k9ik4hTgXOMVsDxMX0$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON   35048888 35698819 36568731 37408672 37558625 37288592
            36968589 36518605 35888661 35418708 35118744 35018829
            35048888=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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