Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1151
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Jun 06 2025 20:29:50

ACUS11 KWNS 062029
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 062029=20
KYZ000-TNZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-062130-

Mesoscale Discussion 1151
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0329 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025

Areas affected...Western Kentucky and northern parts of
western/middle Tennessee

Concerning...Tornado Watch 376...

Valid 062029Z - 062130Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 376 continues.

SUMMARY...The threat for occasional wind damage and a couple of
tornadoes continues.

DISCUSSION...An increasingly complex surface pattern is evolving
within tornado watch 376, as a result of multiple bands/clusters of
storms and associated rain-cooled outflow.  The convective clusters
are occurring east of a remnant MCV approaching the lower OH Valley,
on the northern edge of an unstable warm sector.  Regional VWPs show
40-50 kt midlevel flow with the MCV (and associated deep-layer
vertical shear), but thus far low-level hodograph curvature/SRH has
remained somewhat limited where the majority of the convection is
occurring.  There is still some potential for embedded circulations
with an attendant tornado threat where favorable storm/boundary
interactions occur.

...Thompson.. 06/06/2025

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!79OSSQAVC7naY0EqBTC-fFrFI2paACO6CPnbg5ScKNFb8lsF-2RXvyJOkGDPA8w2hvkTRGsT0=
XIErwq_QKw5t1yatno$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON   37448711 37108677 36848665 36618673 36268701 36108768
            35988828 36048907 36348972 36608966 36708933 36558877
            36728848 37178839 37578851 37828824 37708769 37448711=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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